A bold prediction for 2026 award winners: A fresh take on the Baseball Writers' Association of America honors
The Early Bird Catches the Worm (or the MVP)
I'm back with a way-too-early attempt at predicting the 2026 award winners, despite my less-than-stellar track record in 2025. This time, I'm embracing the challenge of avoiding obvious favorites and repeats, as the offseason moves and Spring Training developments keep things interesting. So, let's dive into my picks, with a focus on fresh faces and potential surprises.
American League MVP: Julio Rodríguez, Mariners
Julio Rodríguez is my pick for American League MVP in 2026. He's ready to take center stage in his age-25 season, building on his impressive performance in 2025. Rodríguez reduced his strikeout percentage, showcased exceptional bat speed, and contributed valuable defense and speed. His passion and pain from his first extended October run will fuel his desire to repeat the success. While Cal Raleigh is a strong contender, his 2025 performance feels unrepeatable, making Rodríguez a compelling choice.
National League MVP: Juan Soto, Mets
Juan Soto, the Mets' star, is a strong candidate for NL MVP. Despite the team's struggles last season, Soto's impressive statistics speak for themselves. He became the third player ever and the first this century to achieve a 40-homer, 100-RBI, 100-walk, 100-run, and 30-steal season. While his defense may hinder his MVP case, Soto's prowess at the plate and his peak power make him a strong contender.
American League Cy Young: Garrett Crochet, Red Sox
Garrett Crochet is my pick for American League Cy Young. He finished as the runner-up to Tarik Skubal in 2025, and his performance was impressive. Crochet threw more innings than Skubal and had a higher WAR score. With his full command of his wipeout stuff and a workload stretched to ace-level, Crochet is a strong candidate for the Cy Young Award.
National League Cy Young: Yoshinobu Yamamoto, Dodgers
While Paul Skenes is a strong contender, I'm going with Yoshinobu Yamamoto for the National League Cy Young. The Dodgers' deep rotation and Yamamoto's impressive preparation make him a strong choice. His 2.74 expected ERA last season was impressive, and he's proven his ability to perform in the MLB.
American League Relief Pitcher of the Year: Cade Smith, Guardians
Cade Smith is my pick for American League Relief Pitcher of the Year. He held opponents to a .558 OPS in his first two Major League seasons, showcasing his effectiveness. Smith's big stuff and unflappable demeanor make him a strong candidate for this award.
National League Relief Pitcher of the Year: Mason Miller, Padres
Mason Miller, with an impressive .494 OPS, is a strong contender for National League Relief Pitcher of the Year. The Padres' investment in him suggests they believe in his potential, and he's a strong candidate for this award.
American League Rookie of the Year: Kevin McGonigle, Tigers
Kevin McGonigle is my pick for American League Rookie of the Year. With impressive hit tools and a strong performance in 2025, he's a strong candidate to crack the Tigers' Opening Day squad. His approach and bat speed make him a promising rookie.
National League Rookie of the Year: JJ Wetherholt, Cardinals
JJ Wetherholt is my pick for National League Rookie of the Year. The Cardinals' investment in him suggests they believe in his potential, and his above-average offensive game makes him a strong candidate for this award.
American League Manager of the Year: Craig Albernaz, Orioles
Craig Albernaz is my pick for American League Manager of the Year. He led the Guardians to consecutive Manager of the Year awards and will take over a talented Orioles squad. With a reasonable shot at the postseason, Albernaz is a strong candidate for this award.
National League Manager of the Year: Don Kelly, Pirates
Don Kelly is my pick for National League Manager of the Year. The Pirates' investment in Kelly and their focus on hitting improvements make him a strong candidate. With a talented pitching staff and a potential Wild Card spot, Kelly is a strong contender for this award.
